Now that prices are going up again, the bulls are regaining some of their previous smugness, and some are trying to revise history about how wrong they were over the last six years. Today I want to take a look back at the insanity of the housing bubble and remind everyone that when they hear the kool aid intoxicated bellow their bullish arguments and sentiments, many of the bulls pontificating today were completely and totally wrong for the last six years — and I don’t mean just a little wrong — most of the bulls were wrong about everything. They [Read More...]
LADERA RANCH
The desire for home ownership is stronger than ever. There are many emotional reasons to covet home ownership, and these are valid reasons to buy a house. However, over the last 30 years, the desire to own a home for family and security has been darkened and twisted by the desire to make outsized profits on imagined appreciation. Although would-be buyers who are prudent and conservative were shaken by the collapse of housing prices, the Ponzis benefited greatly from the price volatility, and their desire for real estate has grown. The moral hazard of the housing bust and bailouts has [Read More...]
The banks are stealing your money… again. The US Government and the federal reserve spent billions bailing out the banking system in 2008 from a financial crisis created by foolish lending. Commercial banks and Wall street securitizers pumped trillions of dollars into dodgy mortgages, much of which was refinance money given to Ponzis, so it wasn’t just late purchasers who were in trouble. When the toxicity of the lending products became apparent, a credit crunch ensued, and residential real estate prices plummeted by 30% or more nationwide. With limited collateral backing their bad loans and millions of delinquent borrowers, lenders [Read More...]

It’s been difficult to be bearish in 2012. First, we had the chorus of perennially wrong bottom callers make their usual prognostications, then Calculated Risk called the bottom, then the banks unexpectedly and abruptly slowed their rate of REO processing to create a shortage of MLS inventory. This MLS shortage has resulted in bidding wars, rising prices, and falling sales volumes. With those conditions, even the serious problems overhanging the market look insignificant. Most of the bears have gone into hibernation and their views have been largely ridiculed much like they were in 2006. Even I have caved in to [Read More...]

realtors never want to see a deal die because the buyer can’t get financing. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NAr, recently lamented about “unnecessarily tight credit standards” and “frictions related to obtaining mortgages.” In a realtor’s world view, there are no unqualified buyers. Back during the height of the housing bubble, the lending community agreed with them, and billions of dollars worth of loans were underwritten to people who had no hope of paying back the money absent continuing rapid appreciation. realtors should be careful what they ask for because getting their way with the lending community is what [Read More...]

Statistics across most markets show rents are going up. The monthly OC Housing market report has shown steadily declining prices and steadily increasing rents over the last two years. Resale prices are falling because loan owners are being forced out of homes they can’t afford, and the resulting REOs and short sales are deflating the housing bubble. These same former loan owners end up becoming renters which increases demand for rental houses. Ordinarily, if loan owners were becoming renters, prices in the rental market wouldn’t be disturbed because the REO would be converted to a rental and supply would equal [Read More...]

I developed the OC Housing News Market Newsletter to provide information on the local housing market useful to potential homebuyers. I believe people make good decisions when given good information. We all know the information provided by realtors on the housing market is manipulated to motivate buyers to act. realtors numbers are rarely accurate, and like the boy who cries wolf, nobody believes the realtor who cries buy. I also follow a philosophy of constant improvement. When I first published the OC Housing News Market Newsletter, I assembled a great deal of data and struggled to find a coherent way [Read More...]
February is historically a bad month for real estate prices. The deals that close in February were negotiated in December and January, which are usually the weakest months of the year for real estate. And since this last fall and winter were particularly bad, the drop in February is not surprising. First-time homebuyer presentation 6:30 Wednesday March 7 Bottom for 2012? Shevy tells me the low interest rates and relatively affordable prices are motivating many buyers. Shevy and his team have been very busy since the first of the year. With the declining inventory we witnessed in January — an [Read More...]

I believe the way to be successful is to do the greatest good for the greatest number. When I was only writing for the Irvine Housing Blog and focusing only on Irvine properties, I was limited. By expanding to the rest of Orange County, I can cover more ground. However, by only doing one property per day, I was not effectively covering the area. By developing the OC Housing News network of sites, I can give more attention to more properties, and in the process, serve more people. I have spent a great deal of time developing a market report [Read More...]
The bank is selling this REO for 50% off what it just paid a few months ago. Now that lenders are clearing out their shadow inventory, they are going to lose a lot of money here in Orange County. ——————————————————————– This property is available for sale via the MLS. Please contact Shevy Akason, #01836707 949.769.1599…… sales@ochousingnews.com….. —— —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- – —— —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- [Read More...]
