CYPRESS

Apr 032013
 
Now is the time to reform the home mortgage interest deduction

If you listen to the people who benefit most from government housing subsidies, there is never a good time to reduce or eliminate a source of government largess. If you’ve been reading this blog for very long, you have a finely tuned bullshit detector. Whenever you read the shrill cries of realtors, homebuilders, and high wage earning loanowners lamenting the dire consequences of reducing or eliminating the home mortgage interest deduction, your bullshit detector should tell you to discount whatever they say as the self-serving nonsense it is. The fact that the home mortgage interest deduction is in danger is [Read More...]

Jan 162013
 
The housing recovery may stall in 2013

As I review the housing numbers each month, I see local housing prices rising quickly and no return of inventory to blunt the increases. Given those conditions, it’s likely that prices will continue to rise in 2013, perhaps significantly. What’s somewhat surprising to me is that my purely mechanical rating system continues to show improvements in market timing. I thought that rising prices would reduce affordability and cause the ratings to drop. That isn’t what’s happening. The declining interest rates have more than offset the rise in prices. In fact, housing affordability as measured by the monthly cost of ownership [Read More...]

Jan 032013
 
Is the threat of shadow inventory truly manageable?

With housing markets, the elephant in the room is shadow inventory. Much has been written about the subject over the last several years. It’s been portrayed as an apparition among the housing bulls, as if the millions of delinquent mortgages simply don’t exist. Most bulls comfort themselves with fanciful notions of loan modification programs succeeding and some simply denying there is a problem at all. Well, there is a problem. Lenders underwrote trillions of dollars worth of mortgages to people who couldn’t or wouldn’t pay them back. Contrary to the popular myth in the mainstream media, it isn’t a problem [Read More...]

Dec 042012
 
Will the high cost of FHA financing derail the housing recovery?

First-time homebuyers are the foundation of the housing market. Move-up buyers need first-time homebuyers to purchase their property to provide the equity to make the move up possible. With the collapse of toxic loan products from the bubble, first-time homebuyers suddenly needed to have qualifying income, and that income would only be applied to conventionally amortizing mortgages. As a result, loan balances cratered, and house prices went down with them. To prevent further declines in mortgage balances, the federal reserve lowered interest rates to near zero and embarked on “operation twist” to bring down mortgage rates. In the process they [Read More...]

Jul 052012
 
Detailed review of the new changes to California foreclosure law

The California legislature passed the so-called Homeowners’ Bill of Rights, and Jerry Brown has indicated he will sign it into law. So how does this new law change the foreclosure process? Let’s take a closer look. Calif. Legislature OKs homeowners’ bill of rights Marisa Lagos and Wyatt Buchanan — Updated 11:33 p.m., Monday, July 2, 2012 What the legislation does: Delays: Bans banks from proceeding with a foreclosure when a homeowner is seeking a loan modification, a practice known as dual tracking. Dual tracking has always been part of the foreclosure process. Foreclosure is supposed to be a threat to [Read More...]

Mar 082012
 
Major banks steal from investors in foreclosure settlement

The more we learn about the foreclosure settlement, the more we see how much of a gift to the major banks this agreement really was. First, they no longer have to deal with any liability for their foreclosure practices. Second, they are allowed to credit their losses on short sales against the settlement payments, so they won’t actually have to pay any cash. And now today we find out they managed to get the administration to agree to allow them to steal from investors with first liens on properties where the banks have second mortgages. It’s outrageous. I don’t think [Read More...]

Feb 182012
 
Hottest Listings in Orange County 2-18-2012

Redfin is the most popular real estate search site in Southern California. They track the most popular listings based on the number of views each receives. Below are some of the most viewed property listings in Orange County. Check them out. 9291 PARLIAMENT Ave Westminster, CA 92683 — $389,900 Competing Listings $419,500 15932 COMMONWEALTH Pl 0.11 miles 3 bd / 1.75 ba 1,291 Sq. Ft. $457,000 9281 JASMINE Ave 0.31 miles 4 bd / 1 ba 1,390 Sq. Ft. $385,000 16351 JODY Cir 0.92 miles 4 bd / 2 ba 1,327 Sq. Ft. $419,900 10131 BEVERLY Ln 0.97 miles 4 [Read More...]

Feb 022012
 
realtors losing people, losing income, losing homes

This is a miserable time to be a realtor. Over the last five years, 21% have let their licenses lapse, total commissions are down over 40%, and 12% of realtors have reported losing homes. It’s hard to feel too sorry for many of them. This is the same crowd that pushed homes on people as great investments in 2006. Conditions may be tough on realtors, but it has been more tough on their bubble-era clients. 1 in 5 gave up real estate license Published: Jan. 24, 2012 Updated: 12:25 p.m. — posted by Jeff Collins California has 21% fewer people [Read More...]