CORONA DEL MAR

Apr 302013
 
Large down payments provide stability to the housing market

Down payments are the bedrock of the housing market. Large down payments preserve home ownership, reduce volatility in the market, and reduce the risk to our financial system. The only people who oppose them are realtors and originate-to-sell lenders who see down payments as an impediment to profits and left-wing housing advocates who see down payments as a barrier to putting unqualified borrowers into houses. Down payments preserve home ownership because people who’ve put down large down payments rarely default. In purely economics terms, people shouldn’t consider sunk costs like down payments in their decision making. However, homeowners do. People [Read More...]

Feb 082013
 
Shiller explains why owner-occupied housing is a poor investment

Despite the fact that house prices crashed, wiped out millions of loanowners, and wiped out the illusory equity of an entire generation, people persist in believing owner-occupied housing is a good investment. Most people believe house prices appreciate 5% to 10% or more each year and by simply owning real estate they can become wealthy. It doesn’t work that way. Over the long term, house values increase with wage inflation as buyers bid up prices with their increasing incomes. An amortizing loan is a forced savings account — assuming the owner doesn’t refinance or HELOC this money out and piss [Read More...]

Jan 212013
 
Delinquent jumbo loans in Coastal California pollute bank balance sheets

The good news in the mainstream media is that delinquency rates are down year-over-year. Of course, they ignore the fact that delinquencies have flatlined since the settlement agreement in February 2012 because that fact doesn’t fit with their optimism bias. The delinquency rate is a national average, so it doesn’t reflect where the delinquencies have declined and what segments of the loan market are recovering. The assumption most casual observers make is that delinquencies are concentrated in poorer subprime areas and the more affluent prime areas like Coastal California are relatively free from mortgage delinquency problems. Nothing could be further [Read More...]

Aug 152012
 
Resale supply is coming, lenders increase foreclosures 10% in July in California

The lack of supply on the MLS is becoming a serious problem. Buyers are getting burnt out and frustrated because they are unable to make a deal. Bidding is so aggressive — and so foolish — that 50% of deals fall out of escrow due to either a low appraisal or the borrower’s inability to obtain financing. The demand is still tepid by historical standards, but the supply is so constricted that lenders have considerable leeway to increase their foreclosure liquidations and still enjoy rising house prices. Perhaps as a response to current market conditions, lenders increased the number of [Read More...]

May 092012
 
Sparks flames out: a lesson on positive real estate cashflow

David Richard Sparks is going to prison. I first wrote about this realtor last June in Orange County realtor lied to clients, stole their money, and admitted to massive Ponzi scheme. According to his confession, he forged bank documents, used non-existent escrow companies, provided bogus status updates and falsely reported significant profits. Victims said if they did not want to reinvest their money with him, Sparks made up excuses for why he could not give it back. He’s quite a piece of work. Mr. Sparks embodies the character and ethics many have come to expect from realtors. The following is from [Read More...]

Apr 262012
 
Forcing second mortgage loss recognition brings reality back to bank reporting

For the last four years the health of the American banking system has been an illusion. In 2008 our insolvent banks were deemed too-big-to-fail, and regulators began allowing banks to market their assets to a fantasy valuation rather than fair-market value. Once insulated from loss recognition, lenders embarked on a policy of amend-extend-pretend with delinquent borrowers. Never before have so many been allowed to squat in luxury for so long. The policy of mark-to-fantasy bank accounting was necessary to make our banks look solvent. The hope was that banks would earn their way back to health as the federal reserve [Read More...]

Apr 122012
 
HELOC Abuse at twenty-six year low

Back in August of 2010, I noted that HELOC abuse had hit a record low. Since then, it has declined even further. A recent report from Fannie Mae puts mortgage equity withdrawal at a 26-year low. I guess when owners have no equity, it’s much harder to raid the piggy bank. Our national economy has become completely dependent upon loan owners. What will it take for us to kick the habit? 85 Percent of Refinancing Homeowners Maintain or Reduce Mortgage Debt in Fourth Quarter: 26-Year High Real Cash-Out Volume at 16-Year Low MCLEAN, Va., Feb. 2, 2012 /PRNewswire/ — Freddie [Read More...]

Mar 182012
 
Have mortgage interest rates bottomed?

Treasurys plunge as traders, Fed bet on economic strength; mortgage rates may creep up By Associated Press, Published: March 14 WASHINGTON — The bond market is betting on a stronger economy. Prices for U.S. Treasury debt plunged for the fifth straight trading session Wednesday, and the yield on the benchmark 10-year note spiked to its highest level since October. Money poured out of bonds and into stocks after rosy words on Tuesday from the Federal Reserve gave traders confidence that the economic recovery is strengthening. Major stock market averages are at or near four-year highs. Treasury yields — and interest [Read More...]

Feb 152012
 
Renters and home owners are ripped off by banksters and loan owners

Home owners and loan owners are different. Both experience changes to their net worth from fluctuations in the resale prices of houses, but beyond that, people who own property don’t benefit from the various bailouts designed to keep loan owners paying their mortgages. Most people who own a loan erroneously think of themselves as home owners. They are not. They are money renters who hold title only as long as they continue to pay the rent on the money they borrowed. Let’s review from Money rentership: housing and the new American dream: Over the years, the slow erosion of property [Read More...]

Jan 282012
 
Hottest Listings in Orange County 1-28-2012

Redfin is the most popular real estate search site in Southern California. They track the most popular listings based on the number of views each receives. Below are some of the most viewed property listings in Orange County. Check them out. See what everyone else finds so interesting. 335 FLYERS Ln Tustin, CA 92782 — $375,000 Competing Listings $639,900 53 DEL CAMBREA 0.82 miles 3 bd / 2.25 ba 1,683 Sq. Ft. $595,000 33 SPARROWHAWK 0.83 miles 3 bd / 1.75 ba 1,545 Sq. Ft. $614,900 8 STAR THISTLE 0.87 miles 3 bd / 2 ba 1,587 Sq. Ft. $594,900 [Read More...]