Archive for August, 2008

Several people have asked about the accuracy of my post Predictions for the Irvine Housing Market. I have the DataQuick numbers through April of 2008, so we can take a look. First, when I first made the chart below, I did not have accurate numbers. The base number I used of $687,000 was incorrect. Using the three-month moving average of prices, the real number was $723,750. With this new, more accurate number, we can compare the projected drop with the real figures.   Well, it is even worse than I imagined. When I first suggested that Irvine's median home price might decline 12% in a single year, it was a bold prediction. Prices had never dropped that much in Irvine…[READ MORE]

We all want affordable housing. There are numerous government programs designed to provide low-cost rental and ownership properties to people in all walks of life. Lenders, builders, realtors and buyers all benefit from affordable housing because affordability means an increase in transaction volumes and more money into the pockets of those dependent on the real estate market. The difficult problem with affordable housing is how to provide it without making it unaffordable. Finance is not the answer. Most of those who worked in the mortgage business really believed the "financial innovation" meme. I have contended that the entire idea is a fallacy. At its core, the belief among financiers is that affordability products reach more customers and permit home ownership…[READ MORE]

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In Memoriam: Tony Bliss 1966-2012
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